It’s the last Sunday of NFL football for another year, and all 32 teams will be playing one final time. Who has a chance to make it into January? Which team is in danger of making an early exit from the playoffs? Who should you pick up off waivers this week? Find out by checking out our latest edition of NFL Week 14 game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips, odds and more. Let us know your thoughts on how we’re doing!
The “NFL Week 14 2021 predictions” is a weekly article that provides NFL game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips, odds and more.
7 a.m. ET
The NFL’s Week 14 schedule for the 2021 season is chock-full of intriguing matches, and we’ve got you covered with everything you need to know ahead of the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters provide us with the most important aspects of each game, as well as a bold prediction for each matchup and, of course, final score predictions.
Additionally, for each game, ESPN Stats & Information gives a key statistic to know as well as a betting nugget, and our Football Power Index (FPI) delves deeper into the stats with a matchup rating (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a game forecast. Kyle Soppe, an ESPN researcher, also provides useful fantasy football information. Everything you need to know to prepare for a jam-packed weekend of NFL football is right here in one place.
Let’s take a look at the whole Week 14 schedule, which includes a high-octane offensive matchup between Tom Brady and Josh Allen, an AFC West confrontation between the Chiefs and Raiders, and a crucial 49ers-Bengals game for each conference’s wild-card race. It all comes to a head on Monday Night Football as the Rams and Cardinals face off in a huge NFC West battle on ESPN. (Unless otherwise stated, all games are on Sunday.)
BAL-CLE | DAL-WSH | LV-KC JAX-TEN | ATL-CAR | NO-NYJ SEA-HOU | NYG-LAC | DET-DEN BUF-TB | SF-CIN | CHI-GB LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-ARI LAR-
MIN 36, PIT 28 on Thursday IND, MIA, NE, and PHI are out.
1 p.m. ET | CBS Matchup rating: 58.6 | CLE -2.5 spread (43)
What to look for: Will the Browns’ offense, particularly the passing game, bounce back after the bye week? Coach Kevin Stefanski and his staff spent the previous week self-scouting, looking for a way to re-energize an offense that has only scored more than 17 points once since October 10. Cleveland will have to score a lot more than the 10 points it scored in their last encounter on Nov. 28 in Baltimore to have any chance of beating the Ravens this time. Jake Trotter’s remark
The Browns will rush for more than 150 yards against the NFL’s top-ranked run defense, according to a bold prediction. Baltimore stopped Cleveland to a season low in running yards two weeks ago (40). The Browns, on the other hand, know that committing to the run (5-1 when running over 30 times) is a winning recipe, and Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are the most healthy members of Cleveland’s offense. Jamison Hensley (Jamison Hensley)
Myles Garrett of the Cleveland Browns ranks second in the NFL with 14.0 sacks this season (T.J. Watt, 16). That ties him for the most sacks in a season in team history with Reggie Camp (14.0 in 1984). (since 1982).
Ravens | Browns Injuries
What you should know about fantasy: Are you concerned about Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson’s poor performance against the Browns in Week 12? It was troubling, but he has rushed for over 100 yards in each of his last two visits to the Dawg Pound, averaging 32.4 fantasy points per game. Check out the Week 14 rankings.
Cleveland has gone 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games, and is 0-3 ATS in its last three. Continue reading to learn more.
Browns 30, Ravens 24 is Hensley’s prediction. Browns 22, Ravens 20 is Trotter’s prediction. CLE has a 53.5 percent chance of winning, according to the FPI (by an average of 1.2 points)
Must-read matchups: The Ravens need Jackson to break out of his funk… Njoku, the Browns’ top receiver, has been added to the COVID-19 list… Humphrey is out for the remainder of the season for the Ravens.
1 p.m. ET | 58.4 Fox Matchup rating | DAL -4 spread (48)
What to look out for: Will Washington’s rushing game be able to exploit the Dallas defense? Because it is continually facing third-and-4 or less, Washington has converted 50% of its third downs during the victory streak. On 27 of the team’s last 58 third downs, this has been the case. That success may be attributed to the run game. And that’s significant because if Washington gets into third-and-long against this pass rush, Micah Parsons will have a great day. It’s most likely the difference between a narrow win for Washington and a double-digit win for Dallas. ‘John Keim’
Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott will score a running touchdown, according to a bold prediction. After having at least three — and as many as six — in each of his first five seasons, he has only one this year. The Cowboys haven’t used him as much as they have in the past, owing to an ankle injury he had last season, but he has four running touchdowns versus Washington in his career. By the way, he’s 7-1 against Washington as a starter, with 13 touchdowns and just one interception. Todd Archer is a writer.
Washington running back Antonio Gibson had 109 touches during the team’s four-game winning streak, second most behind Jonathan Taylor since Week 10. (114). In two games versus the Cowboys last season, he scored four touchdowns and averaged 132.0 scrimmage yards.
Cowboys | Washington | Injuries
1 p.m. ET | CBS Matchup rating: 56.2 | KC -9.5 point spread (48)
What to look for: The Chiefs have only looked like the Chiefs once in the last six weeks, and that was against the Raiders in Week 10. In a 41-14 victory, Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 406 yards and five touchdowns. Was it a fluke, or have the Chiefs figured out the Raiders? If the Chiefs protect Mahomes as effectively as they did the last time these two teams played, they have a strong chance of recording large offensive numbers again. They didn’t give up a sack to edge rushers Yannick Ngakoue and Maxx Crosby. Adam Teicher’s remark
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Travis Kelce, the Chiefs’ tight end, will have at least 100 receiving yards for the fourth consecutive game against the Raiders. After receiving eight receptions for 119 yards in the November meeting, he stated he regained his “swag,” and Raiders safety Johnathan Abram has given up 14 catches on 15 targets for 198 yards and three touchdowns in three career games against the Chiefs. Kelce has only had eight receptions in his last two games, but he’ll have a field day on Sunday. Gutierrez, Paul
Hunter Renfrow of the Raiders has now had back-to-back 100-yard receiving games for the second time in his career, but he has never had three such games in a row. Tight end Darren Waller is the only Raiders player in the last 20 years to have three consecutive 100-yard receiving games (four straight from 2020 to 2021).
Raiders | Chiefs Injuries
What to know for fantasy: In each of his last three games against the Chiefs, Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr has completed over 70% of his throws, thrown multiple touchdowns, and scored over 18 fantasy points. Check out the Week 14 rankings.
After opening the season with a 2-7 ATS record, Kansas City has covered three consecutive games. Continue reading to learn more.
Chiefs 31, Raiders 20 is Gutierrez’s prediction. Chiefs 26, Raiders 20 is Teicher’s prediction. KC is expected to win 71.9 percent of the vote, according to the FPI (by an average of 7.7 points)
Matchup must-reads: The Raiders’ Jekyll-and-Hyde offensive is on the verge of a season-ending meltdown… One-liners and victory laps: The rivalry between the Chiefs and the Raiders is still raging… Carlson and Cole have signed extensions with the Raiders… Mathieu presents a Super Bowl ticket to a critical response nurse… the safety of the Chiefs Sorensen represents the team’s defensive resurgence.
1 p.m. ET | CBS Matchup rating: 39.9 | TEN -8.5 spread (43.5)
What to look out for: The Titans are desperate to return to a positive turnover ratio. In its last two games, Tennessee has handed the ball over nine times and failed to get any turnovers. The Jaguars’ minus-1.3 turnover margin is tied for the lowest in the league, so the Titans should have a solid chance to generate some turnovers this week. Turron Davenport (Turron Davenport)
Jaguars running back James Robinson will get 25 or more touches, according to a bold prediction. Robinson was benched for 16 and 20 plays the last two games after fumbling. There was outrage in Jacksonville (backup RB Carlos Hyde fumbled but went back onto the field for the next drive). QB Trevor Lawrence even discussed Robinson’s presence on the field with the coaching staff. This week, anticipate an overcorrection, but not the same level of performance as in the first meeting (149 yards). We don’t expect Robinson to carry for more than 100 yards against the Titans, who allow just 98 yards per game on the ground. Mike DiRocco’s remark
1 p.m. ET | 31.6 Fox Matchup rating | CAR -2.5 spread (42)
What to look for: Jeff Nixon, Carolina’s new offensive playcaller, is a run-first guy. So expect him to attack the Falcons in the same manner that former offensive coordinator Joe Brady did the first time they met. He won’t call as many rushes as Brady did in that 19-13 victory, but you can guarantee he’ll call more than Brady’s past two games’ 18-21 rushes. Now that Cam Newton is the quarterback, expect a lot more read-option plays. David Newton is an author.
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Prediction: Carolina rushed for 203 yards the last time these two teams met, and don’t be shocked if the Panthers use a similar plan on Sunday. And the outcomes were similar: largely field goals and few touchdowns. The Falcons have a more consistent game plan this time, and quarterback Matt Ryan will find a way to toss two touchdown passes, which will be enough to help Atlanta win. Michael Rothstein is a writer and producer.
With Christian McCaffrey out, Chuba Hubbard is expected to take over as running back for the Panthers. During McCaffrey’s absence, he was second in the NFL in rush attempts (89) and tenth in rush yards (379).
Falcons | Panthers Injuries
What to know for fantasy: In just two of his seven career games versus the Falcons, Panthers receiver DJ Moore has surpassed 13 fantasy points. Check out the Week 14 rankings.
Atlanta is 4-1 against the spread in its last five road games. Continue reading to learn more.
Falcons 20, Panthers 17 is Rothstein’s prediction. Panthers 24, Falcons 20 is Newton’s prediction. CAR, 67.5 percent, according to FPI (by an average of 6.1 points)
Must-read matchups: For the Falcons to make a serious run in the playoffs, they need to complete more drives… After sacking offensive coordinator Brady, Panthers coach Ron Rhule is under fire.
1 p.m. ET | CBS Matchup rating of 20.4 | NO -5.5 spread (42.5)
What to look out for: Saints quarterback Taysom Hill has a broken middle finger on his throwing hand and may need to play with a splint, but four fingers should be plenty to overcome the NFL’s worst defense. According to ESPN Stats & Information, the Jets are allowing 30.6 points per game, which is the NFL’s seventh-worst number since 2000. The Jets’ best-case scenario is that rookie quarterback Zach Wilson, a BYU product like Hill, can improve on his good performance last week. Cimini, Rich
New Orleans running back Alvin Kamara will have more yards from scrimmage than the entire Jets backfield, according to a bold prediction. With Mark Ingram II presumably on the reserve/COVID-19 list and Hill suffering with a finger injury, Kamara will play a greater role in New Orleans’ offense than normal. Meanwhile, against New Orleans’ great run defense, the Jets won’t be able to produce much on the ground, and their running backs haven’t been a huge component of the receiving game with Wilson at quarterback. Triplett, Mike
Elijah Moore, a Jets receiver, has five touchdown receptions this season (all in his past five games). Since Week 9, he has 392 receiving yards, which is tied for the most in the NFL.
1 p.m. ET | 17.6 Fox Matchup rating | SEA -8.5 spread (41)
What to look out for: The Texans are averaging a league-low 13.5 points per game and have been shut out twice this season. The Seahawks’ defense, on the other hand, is ranked sixth in the NFL, allowing an average of 20.8 points per game. The Texans’ team total is set at 16.5, but they’ve only reached it twice since Week 2. Sarah Barshop is a writer.
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I’m going to make a bold prediction: whomever Houston starts as quarterback will be sacked at least three times by the Seahawks (Tyrod Taylor or Davis Mills). And, yes, that’s a bold statement given their pass rush, which has been among the league’s worst and certainly their greatest letdown. Houston, which ranks 30th in ESPN’s pass block victory rate while surrendering the sixth-most sacks per dropback of any team, will be their opponent on Sunday. Brady Henderson’s quote
This season, both clubs are in the bottom three in terms of time of possession. The Seahawks are also on track to become just the second team in the last 45 years to have less than 25 minutes of possession per game (1999 Browns).
Seahawks | Texans Injuries
What you should know about fantasy: Tyler Lockett of Seattle has been within the top 30 fantasy finishers at receiver in each of the last three weeks, while DK Metcalf has had none over that time. Check out the Week 14 rankings.
Houston has gone under the total in four of their last five games. Continue reading to learn more.
Seahawks 26, Texans 14 is Henderson’s choice. Seahawks 20, Texans 7 is Barshop’s prediction. SEA, 72.9 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 8.1 points)
Must-read matchups: Seahawks’ Dunlap attempts to make the best of a decreased role… Why the Texans may focus to the future and finish the season with rookie quarterback Mills… Adams of the Seahawks will have shoulder surgery at the conclusion of the season… Cunningham was released by the Texans after being benched in Week 13.
It’s 4:05 p.m. ET | Matchup rating: 45.5 on Fox | Line: LAC -10 (43)
What to look out for: Who will start at quarterback for the Giants? The Chargers aren’t concerned if it’ll be Jake Fromm or Mike Glennon. Coach Brandon Staley said Saquon Barkley as a “great running back,” and they are concerned about him. The Chargers are dealing with COVID-19 concerns, with receivers Mike Williams and Keenan Allen, as well as cornerback Chris Harris Jr., on the COVID/reserve list. This might have a significant impact on the game’s result. Shelley Smith says:
Los Angeles running back Austin Ekeler will have 200 total yards, according to a bold prediction. Ekeler is a twofold danger, as we all know. As a rusher (663 yards) and receiver, he can cause havoc (518 yards). This might be an issue for the Giants, who have given up the most receiving yards to running backs in the league. With uncertainties regarding the availability of Los Angeles’ top receivers, the offense will likely rely on Ekeler more than normal. It’s going to be a huge game. Jordan Raanan is a writer.
Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has 58 career throwing touchdowns and needs two more on Sunday to match Dan Marino (68) as the only quarterbacks in NFL history to have 60 in their first two seasons.
DEN -10 | 4:05 p.m. ET | Fox Matchup rating: 34.8 (42)
What to look out for: The Broncos are fighting to remain in the AFC playoff hunt, and their success may hinge on their ability to simply accept and stick to what they do best on offense: run the ball with an opportunistic play-action passing attack that can push the ball down the field. The Lions’ defense is good enough to pose a big threat to Denver’s clumsy offense, but teams who have committed to rushing the ball against the Lions have had success doing so. In six victories versus Detroit, opponents have run for at least 130 yards. The Broncos will have to be one of those teams if they want to avoid a major setback in their playoff ambitions. Legwold, Jeff
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Speculative prediction: Amon-Ra St. Brown is a name to remember. The rookie Lions receiver will have his second career receiving touchdown in Denver, riding high on the success of last week’s game-winning score, as quarterback Jared Goff looks to target him more this week. Eric Woodyard’s remark
Teddy Bridgewater is on track to become the first Broncos quarterback to score 20 throwing touchdowns in a single season since Peyton Manning (2014).
Lions | Broncos Injuries
What to know for fantasy: In his first game as “the man” in the Denver backfield last week, Broncos running back Javonte Williams became the first back in the NFL this season to have 100 rushing yards and 75 receiving yards in the same game. With an arrow going straight up, he concluded the week as fantasy football’s best running back. Check out the Week 14 rankings.
Denver is 6-0 this season when covering games, which is a betting nugget. Continue reading to learn more.
Broncos 24, Lions 21 is Woodyard’s prediction. Broncos 23, Lions 16 is Legwold’s prediction. DEN, 76.1 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 9.4 points)
Must-reads for this matchup: Lions dedicate first victory to Oxford community… The Broncos must approach each game as if it were the playoffs going forward… How the Lions’ victory impacted their chances of landing the No. 1 pick… Why is it so difficult for the Broncos to get the ball to Sutton?
TB -3.5 | 4:25 p.m. ET | CBS Matchup rating: 93.9 (53.5)
What to look out for: The buzz heading into this game may be Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady versus the Bills’ feared pass defense, but this game might very well be decided on the ground. The Bills allowed 222 rushing yards and 12 rushing scores against the Patriots on Monday night, while Tampa Bay running back Leonard Fournette has five touchdowns in his last two games. On the other hand, aside of quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills have failed to get the ground game going, and that might happen again against a run defense that allows just 84.3 yards per game, the second fewest in the league. Jenna Laine is a writer who lives in New York City.
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Bold prediction: Brady will struggle against the Bills’ league-leading pass defense, which will restrict him to two or fewer throwing touchdowns and force at least two interceptions. Even though Brady has had historic success versus Buffalo and leads the NFL’s top passing attack, going via the air is not the greatest method to win this squad given Buffalo’s recent run defensive struggles. This season, the Bills have given up eight passing touchdowns and a league-low 57.7% completion rate to opposition quarterbacks. In addition, this team has forced 16 interceptions (third most). In Tampa Bay, cornerback Dane Jackson, who is coming in for the injured Tre’Davious White, will have his first major test, and his ability to restrict the Buccaneers’ passing offense might be the game’s determining factor. Alaina Getzenberg is a writer who lives in New York City.
To achieve 1,000 receiving yards on the season, Bills receiver Stefon Diggs needs 102 yards, which would make him just the second player in Bills history to do it in consecutive seasons (Stevie Johnson, three straight from 2010 to 2012).
Bills | Buccaneers Injuries
What to know in fantasy: For the third week in a row, the Bills have failed to place their WR2 among the top 30 at his position in fantasy football. Check out the Week 14 rankings.
Brady has a 21-12-1 ATS record versus Buffalo in his career. Continue reading to learn more.
Bills 31, Buccaneers 30 is Getzenberg’s prediction. Buccaneers 21, Bills 17 is Laine’s prediction. TB, 57.5 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 2.6 points)
Must-reads for matchups: Missed chances and opposing philosophies? The Bills’ offense has to improve… Brady and Gronkowski of the Buccaneers have moved into second place all-time in regular-season touchdown hookups… A Super Bowl rematch between the Patriots and the Buccaneers? Why the top defense versus. best offense in the NFL is essentially a foregone conclusion
SF -1 | CBS Matchup rating: 59.3 | 4:25 p.m. ET (49)
What to look out for: In their 2019 game, the 49ers dominated the Bengals. The Bengals have overhauled their defense to stop the run since that game. According to ESPN Stats & Information, the 49ers are second in the NFL in percentage of planned run plays and sixth in overall running yards. Meanwhile, Cincinnati ranks sixth in the NFL in terms of rush defensive success rate. On Sunday, the Bengals’ run defense will be a major issue. – Ben Little
Niners tight end George Kittle will score twice, according to my bold prediction. Since Week 9, he has five receiving touchdowns, which is tied for the most in the NFL, while the Bengals have allowed four tight end scores in the same time period. Even one more touchdown would set a new season high for Kittle. Nick Wagoner is a writer.
Bengals running back Joe Mixon has scored a touchdown in nine consecutive games, one short of tying the franchise’s greatest record (Carl Pickens, 10 straight from 1994 to 1995).
NBC Matchup rating: 50.5 | Spread: GB -12.5 | 8:20 p.m. ET (43)
What to look for: Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers had the week off to rest his broken toe, but he claimed he won’t know how much better it is until he plays. During the Packers’ previous game, against the Rams on Nov. 28, he was limping at times, but it didn’t appear to affect his play. This game, on the other hand, may signal how much difficulties he’ll have the rest of the way. Demovsky, Rob
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In his return from a two-game rib injury, Bears quarterback Justin Fields will achieve 60 percent accuracy (beating his season average of 58.1 percent), but he will throw at least one interception against a Packers defense that is tied for fourth in the NFL with 12 interceptions. Demovsky’s words
Davante Adams is two touchdowns away from matching Jordy Nelson (69) for the second most in team history.
Bears | Packers Injuries
What to know for fantasy: Against the Packers, Chicago running back David Montgomery has scored over 25 fantasy points in straight games, receiving 14 of 15 targets and averaging 5.2 yards per carry. Check out the Week 14 rankings.
Green Bay is 10-2 ATS this season, the best mark in the league, with a 5-0 ATS home record. Continue reading to learn more.
Packers 31, Bears 20 (Demovsky’s choice) FPI prediction: GB, 80.5 percent (by an average of 11.4 points)
Matchup must-reads: Fields have been cleared after a rib injury, and he will start against the Packers… Rodgers: I have no regrets about declaring “I still own” the Bears… The Packers are well positioned for a push at the NFC’s top seed thanks to a late bye.
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN Matchup rating: 88.1 | ARI -2 in the spread (52)
What to look out for: Arizona quarterback Kyler Murray is returning from a high left ankle sprain and wants to pass more downfield this week, but he’ll have to watch out for the Rams’ formidable defensive front, which features defensive lineman Aaron Donald and edge rusher Von Miller. This might come down to a cat-and-mouse game between those two pass-rushers and Murray, who is one of the greatest in the NFL at creating plays with his feet, as everyone knows. Josh Weinfuss (@JoshWeinfuss)
This game will develop into a quarterback battle between Matthew Stafford and Murray, who rank third and fourth in total QBR this season, respectively. Both will throw for at least 300 yards, with DeAndre Hopkins of the Cardinals and Cooper Kupp of the Rams both having 100-yard receiving performances. Lindsey Thiry (Lindsey Thiry)
Odell Beckham Jr., a Rams receiver, has scored a touchdown in each of his last two games. It’s his first TD in back-to-back games since 2019, and he hasn’t had three straight receiving touchdowns since 2015, when he was still with the Giants.
Rams against. Cardinals: Injuries
What to know in fantasy: Murray earned 22.6 fantasy points against the Rams in Week 4, his best game against the divisional opponent in his career. Check out the Week 14 rankings.
Mike Clay takes over DeAndre Hopkins and the Cardinals wide receivers’ crucial matchups against the Rams.
Los Angeles has an 8-1 ATS record versus Arizona under coach Sean McVay. Arizona, on the other hand, only had one cover in Week 4. Continue reading to learn more.
Cardinals 32, Rams 30 (thirty’s selection). Cardinals 37, Rams 30 is Weinfuss’ choice. ARI, 59.3 percent, according to the FPI (by an average of 3.2 points)
Must-reads for the matchup: This is 40: Whitworth of the Rams does something no other left tackle has ever done… Is Murray the greatest Texas high school quarterback? … Ramsey has a unique relationship with the Rams’ mariachi band.
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The “NFL Week 14 game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips, odds, injuries and more” is a website that provides the latest information for NFL Week 14. It also has a list of games and their times on the schedule. Reference: week 14 nfl schedule.
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